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Heavy Rain and Thunderstorms Expected This Memorial Day Weekend

Dark clouds and heavy rainfall illustrating Memorial Day weekend thunderstorms

News Summary

The Mid-South region, particularly around Memphis, is preparing for significant rainfall and thunderstorms over the Memorial Day weekend. The heaviest downpours are forecasted for Sunday and Monday, with an 80% chance of rain and potential for severe weather. Residents should remain vigilant as conditions could lead to strong storms, especially during the afternoon and evening hours on Sunday. The weather will keep temperatures mild, but ongoing rain is expected to continue into the week.

Memphis, TN – The Mid-South region is bracing for heavy rain and thunderstorms this Memorial Day weekend, with the heaviest showers expected on Sunday and Monday. As of the latest update on May 26, 2025, the National Weather Service has issued a forecast indicating an 80% chance of rain on Sunday, with local areas experiencing potentially heavy rainfall and scattered thunderstorms.

The weather will begin with rain early in the day, transitioning to cloudy skies for the afternoon. Temperatures are expected to peak around 70°F, with winds blowing from the east-northeast at a speed of 5 to 10 mph. This will shift to an easterly breeze overnight, maintaining a mild low temperature around 65°F as the rain probability decreases to 60% in the evening hours.

On Sunday, between noon and 8 p.m., the likelihood of showers and thunderstorms significantly increases, as conditions gather steam for potential storm development. Predictions for wind speeds during this time are forecasted to be around 10 to 15 mph. Residents in the area should be cautious of strong storms possibly producing gusty winds, lightning, and heavy rainfall.

Forecast Overview

On Memorial Day, continue to expect wet conditions with a mostly cloudy sky. The high temperature for the day should reach the upper 70s, alongside a 50% chance of rain lingering throughout the day. Following the holiday, the weather outlook shows persistent rainy conditions could extend into Tuesday, with expectations of hit-or-miss storms for the remainder of the week.

Weather Patterns and Expectations

As the spring severe weather season is underway, the Severe Weather Center 13 had predicted a wetter pattern for the region. However, major severe weather events, classified on a severity scale of 1 to 5, are deemed unlikely for the upcoming weekend. Instead, the expectation remains for some strong thunderstorm activity, particularly on Sunday.

Conditions leading up to the holiday weekend have seen temperatures fluctuate. Friday, May 23 experienced highs in the mid-70s, while Saturday, May 24 brought the potential for thunderstorms as temperatures reached near 80°F. The weather turned cooler on May 25, with a rainy and mild day reflected in highs in the mid-80s.

Additional Weather Information

During Memorial Day weekend, isolated rain chances are forecasted to hover around 40%. On Sunday night, low temperatures will dip into the mid-60s with a 70% chance of rain expected. Any storm systems crossing the area could produce considerable rainfall, prompting residents to stay informed about rapidly changing conditions.

Forecasted temperatures in the coming week will remain below average with highs expected in the upper 70s to near 80°F. This pattern indicates that residents should prepare for ongoing rainfall and potential thunderstorms, adding caution to outdoor plans during this holiday period.

Overall, the Mid-South is poised for a wet and stormy Memorial Day weekend. Residents are advised to stay tuned for continuous updates and prepare accordingly as thunderstorms approach the area.

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Additional Resources

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